The Gold Bear and Dollar Bull
Gold is down, the dollar is up measured in gold, and rising interest rates sit under both.
A free weekly letter on macro, value and risk, with gold as the constant.
A dollar price tells you what something costs today. Pricing it in gold gives you another way to judge how its value has changed. I use that perspective to look at markets, housing, money and the forces that shape investment over a full cycle.
Each Wednesday, I work through a question in macro, value or risk, using charts, history and the conditions that would prove my view wrong. Alongside the letter, you'll find the live Prices in Gold model, an archive of longer essays and links worth your time.
This is one investor's framework for people who make their own decisions. No trading signals, buy and sell calls, or promises of certainty. Read it, question it, and use what helps you test your own assumptions.

Tom has a lot of knowledge to draw on. I enjoy reading his take on things. There is usually something in there I hadn't considered.
I first read Tom's work in 2011. Good to see him writing again. Pricing things in gold sounds odd at first, but it changes the picture enough to make you question what a price is really telling you. That's worth spending some time with.
Smart guy. What I like is that Tom can put an idea in front of you that makes you stop and look at something differently. It doesn't feel like he's trying to close the argument. There's room to think.
Tom's a close friend, and I value his judgment. I want to see how he gets to a view, particularly one I haven't arrived at myself. There's no shortage of market commentary; having Tom's perspective in the mix is the appeal for me. Sometimes the useful part is a reason to reconsider your own position. You can read his thinking and still make your own decisions.
There's more to it than that. That's often my reaction to a quick take on a subject, and it's what I appreciate about Tom's work: he gives you the 'more'. He works through the connections and takes the time to go beneath the surface. I find that depth much more interesting than being handed a conclusion. It gives me something to follow and think about.
I like independent thinking. Tom has his own angle, and he's willing to put it out there. Give me something worth arguing about rather than another version of what everyone else is saying.